Estimate of Climatic Aggressiveness Index under Climate Change Scenarios in the Ubaté – Suárez Basin in the Departments of Cundinamarca and Boyacá- Colombia
This study evaluated the aggressiveness of precipitation using the Fournier Index – IF, Modified Fournier Index – IMF and precipitation concentration index – ICP, in the Ubaté – Suárez Basin in the departments of Cundinamarca and Boyacá, and its future behavior considering climate change scenarios,...
Autor Principal: | Cepeda-García, Magnolia |
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Otros Autores: | Mena-Rentería, Darwin |
Formato: | info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
Idioma: | spa |
Publicado: |
Universidad Santo Tomás Seccional Tunja
2016
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: |
http://revistas.ustatunja.edu.co/index.php/ingeniomagno/article/view/1195 |
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Sumario: |
This study evaluated the aggressiveness of precipitation using the Fournier Index – IF, Modified Fournier Index – IMF and precipitation concentration index – ICP, in the Ubaté – Suárez Basin in the departments of Cundinamarca and Boyacá, and its future behavior considering climate change scenarios, established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change – IPCC and adopted in Colombia by the National Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies – IDEAM. The analysis was carried out over two different time scales decennial and inter-annual, in which it was concluded that the climatic aggressiveness indexes are greater for the current period (1971-2010), with respect to the predicted data in climate change scenarios, furthermore in IF at least 70% of the territory exceeded a value of 200mm which indicates a very high level of aggressiveness, whereas for the IMF in 100% of cases, independently of the different climate change scenarios applied and periods, had a very high level of climate aggressiveness exceeding by far the limit of 400m, as for the ICP, it shows moderately seasonal to uniform values in the different scenarios and periods. |
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